On June 29, 2025, the FIFA Club World Cup boasts a blockbuster clash as Inter Miami, led by Lionel Messi, takes on Paris Saint-Germain (PSG).
For Messi, this match is personal. Facing his former club and ex-Barcelona manager Luis Enrique, the Argentine legend is set to ignite the Hard Rock Stadium. His presence has already transformed Inter Miami into a betting hotspot, with sportsbooks buzzing over his potential to upset the odds against a formidable PSG side.
Since joining Inter Miami in 2023, Messi has redefined Major League Soccer (MLS). His arrival turned a struggling franchise into a Leagues Cup champion, doubling the club’s revenue to over $200 million in 2024.
Betting markets have followed suit, with a 274% surge in wagers on Inter Miami games. As some betting analysts note, “Messi will be heavily involved in Inter Miami’s attack,” making him a focal point for prop bets in this high-stakes opener.
Responsible Gambling in the Spotlight
With soccer betting surging, responsible gambling is more important than ever. Organizations like BeGambleAware offer tools to help fans set limits and enjoy betting safely. Whether wagering on Messi’s shots or Miami’s upset chances, BeGambleAware’s resources ensure the thrill of betting remains a fun, controlled experience rather than a financial strain.
Top Lionel Messi Prop Bets
1+ Shots on Target Outside the Box (+120 at bet365)
Messi’s long-range shooting remains a hallmark of his game. In the Club World Cup, all nine of his shots have come from outside the 18-yard box, with four of his last six long-range efforts finding the net.
PSG’s defense, while stout, conceded a long-range goal to Igor Jesus in this tournament, suggesting vulnerabilities. Messi’s knack for winning free kicks near the penalty area and his willingness to shoot from distance make this prop a solid play at plus-odds.
3+ Shots (-140 at DraftKings)
Messi averages three shots per 90 minutes in the Club World Cup, far outpacing his teammates. Despite managing only two shots against Palmeiras, his “in the gym” range—capable of firing from 35 yards—makes this prop reliable.
PSG’s expected dominance may force Messi to carry Inter Miami’s attack, especially as he takes all free kicks and penalties.
One can predict Messi will test PSG’s goalkeeper Gigi Donnarumma relentlessly, making this bet viable up to -150 odds.
Messi to Score or Assist (+150 at FanDuel)
If Inter Miami scores, Messi is likely to be involved. His elite dribbling and ability to find spaces between the lines remain unmatched, even at 38.
PSG’s world-class midfield and defense pose a challenge, but Messi’s knack for creating chances makes this prop enticing.
At +150, FanDuel offers better value than competitors, especially if you believe Miami can avoid a shutout.
The Messi Effect on Betting Markets
Messi’s move to MLS didn’t just elevate Inter Miami; it reshaped soccer betting. His presence has made the Herons the most bet-on team in MLS, with eight of the ten most-wagered games in 2023 featuring Miami. This mirrors Cristiano Ronaldo’s impact at Al-Nassr, where betting on the Saudi Pro League spiked 300% post-transfer. For the Club World Cup, Inter Miami’s +10,000 odds to win the tournament seem daunting, but their +470 odds to top Group A reflect confidence in Messi’s magic.
Can Messi Defy the Odds?
PSG are favorites, and they’ll win both halves. Their lightning-fast attack and robust defense make them a tough matchup, especially for Inter Miami’s leaky backline. Yet, Messi’s history of defying expectations—evident in his 10 goals in seven Leagues Cup matches—suggests an upset isn’t impossible.
His matchup against familiar foes like Donnarumma and Enrique adds intrigue, making this a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.
Messi to face PSG in Club World Cup knockouts! Can he upset his former side with Miami? | ESPN FC
A Global Stage for Soccer’s Greatest
Messi’s clash with PSG is more than a game; it’s a testament to his enduring influence. From boosting MLS’s profile to driving betting markets, his impact is undeniable. As the Club World Cup unfolds, all eyes will be on Messi to deliver a performance that could shift the odds and cement his legacy further.
For bettors, combining strategic wagers with responsible gambling practices, guided by BeGambleAware, ensures the excitement stays sustainable.