Photo: atleticodemadrid.com
The match between the La Liga leaders has sparked a lot of debate, as both teams are currently in a position to achieve meaningful success in the 2024/25 season, despite the large number of injured players in one of the squads. At the moment, Barcelona is the crowd’s favorite, given their previous wins over Benfica and Girona in March. However, the bookmakers' predictions differ: if you plan to bet on the match with Atlético Madrid, it is better to explore the top betting tips with odds and familiarize yourself with the latest stats and trends.
Team Estimate
Atlético Madrid are currently in third place in La Liga. Although the team is behind its opponent in the standings, the club's position is beginning to improve: midfielder Koke, who has already managed to score one goal and make one effective pass this season, has recently returned to the squad. The player successfully recovered from a muscular injury suffered in February.
In addition, the team has other promising members – for example, Alexander Sørloth, who has scored six times against Barcelona, and Rodrigo De Paul, who netted two goals during the last game against Sevilla. However, it's worth noting that one of Atlético's key players is still suspended: Ángel Correa received a red card for referee abuse back in March, which means he won't be able to participate in at least four upcoming matches (La Liga management may increase the number to 12). A reminder that Correa has scored four goals and provided one assist this season; he also has 16 fouls committed.
Meanwhile, Barcelona is enjoying one of the most successful seasons in its entire history this year: the club had six consecutive wins in March, and during February, the Catalan team won five matches overall (including games against well-known opponents such as Valencia, Atalanta, and Alavés). Even numerous injuries haven’t been an obstacle, as Barcelona has succeeded despite the absence of Marc Casadó and Dani Olmo – two of the most valuable midfielders, who have scored a total of 12 goals this season.
Predictions and Forecasts
Apparently, both teams have a strong chance to win: according to Betfair, the odds for Atlético to win are 13/8, while Barcelona’s are 6/5. A draw is also a strong possibility – with odds set at 15/8. This could be explained by the latest stats, which show that Barcelona have been unbeaten in 20 matches this season.
Taking into account Atlético Madrid’s recent performances, the team is likely to score first against FC Barcelona, according to the Football Whispers blog. Overall, Barcelona are expected to win 2–1 against Atlético (according to DraftKings), while experts at Dimers give the Catalan giants a 42% chance of success, compared to Atlético’s 33.3%.